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Market Breadth's Latest Warning As Oil, Inflation and Rates Rise
Market breadth’s latest warning emerged as oil, inflation fears and rates rose, pressuring small caps and retailers ahead of the Fed decision.
Bluesky · Hashtag
#$XRT
13
posts · 30d
5
users
0
posts / day
2.6
posts / user
-83% vs last week
#$XRT is an active hashtag on Bluesky. In the last 30 days, 5 people shared 13 posts with it — around 0 a day. Activity is down 83% versus the previous week, peaking on Aug 26 with 5 posts.
#$XRT posts per day (last 30 days)
Posts with #$XRT
$WFC with same message as $BAC & $JPM on US consumer: strong spend & lower credit costs. Bank stocks have had strong run into results, but message on consumer is consistent: improving spend AND credit quality, despite all the concern out there. 🔥🔥 $XLF $XLY $XRT
Rahul Sharma @retailguru.bsky.social
Like $JPM, $BAC consumer card spend holds strong at +7%. But highlight is remarkable improvement in credit quality both QoQ and vs LY, with no blowout in card loans. Gas spend up but discretionary spend (esp entertainment & travel) strong. 💪 $XLF $XLY $AXP $V $MA
5 0 10
Depot, Lowes paint picture of stable sales & margin in end-market hugely linked to (very low) housing turnover in 👍 on US consumer. Store traffic still down offset by ticket. $LOW still (unusually) out-comping $HD although that gap shrank this Q. $XLY $XRT $XLF $WSM $W
Rahul Sharma @retailguru.bsky.social
Lots to like at Target: comp better & traffic up on 4-year stack. Inventory down 4 to 59 days, lowest in 2 years. But just as much, $TGT is read on strength of US consumer across board. Discretionary apparel, hardlines, beauty all outpaced total sales 🔥 $WMT $AMZN $XLY $XLF $XRT
0 1 9
Walmart benefiting from new income streams not only on margin. Inventory days at 40, below past 10 years barring shortage-induced 2020. Not quite negative working capital like $AMZN but $WMT is rare US retailer with payables > inventory. 💪 $TGT $XRT $XLY
Rahul Sharma @retailguru.bsky.social
Walmart US transformation remarkable. Web hit record 22.9% of total, up 410bp on last year and vs only 9% in 2019. Mimicking $AMZN, advertising +37% on top of +29% last year, key reason why US margin is expanding. $WMT $TGT $XLF $XLY
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Visa update on consumer: spending both in US & overseas remains ‘strong & stable’ through August, US +9% after +10% in Q2. Cross border accelerated 200bp led by web. $V $MA $AXP $XLY $XLF $XRT $AMZN
Rahul Sharma @retailguru.bsky.social
With retail reporting largely complete, picture of healthy consumer with most improvement at lower end & apparel strength. But shows how much Nike troubles are dragging on sporting goods retail globally at time of relative plenty. $NKE $ADDYY $DKS $DG $DLTR $BBY $WSM $URBN $ROST
0 1 6
$BAC CEO highlights solid +4% US consumer spend in August. Gas part of that but so is very discretionary stuff. Cites wage growth, steady jobs & credit quality normalising near 40-year lows. No signs of stress: consumer 'continues to spend' $XLF $V $MA $XLY $XRT $AXP $COF
Rahul Sharma @retailguru.bsky.social
Mastercard (unsurprisingly) echoes Visa. August continued July trends. $MA also keen to point out how, across board, consumers spending on experiences like eating out, movies & travel. Strength in some of the most discretionary areas. $V $AXP $XLF $XLY $CCL $DAL $MAR $SBUX
0 1 1
$XRT Retail Sector ETF
6 week downtrend... a little concerning when we factor in interest rates and energy prices. 👀 #IBDPartner @ibdinvestors.bsky.social
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0 0 0
Visa update on consumer: spending both in US & overseas remains ‘strong & stable’ through August, US +9% after +10% in Q2. Cross border accelerated 200bp led by web. $V $MA $AXP $XLY $XLF $XRT $AMZN
Rahul Sharma @retailguru.bsky.social
With retail reporting largely complete, picture of healthy consumer with most improvement at lower end & apparel strength. But shows how much Nike troubles are dragging on sporting goods retail globally at time of relative plenty. $NKE $ADDYY $DKS $DG $DLTR $BBY $WSM $URBN $ROST
0 1 6
All three major Sonoma brands comped at 5% or more with comp accelerating on 2 & 3 year stacks, showing significant brand heat. Guide confidence also evident in gift card revenue +7%, yet inventory well-managed only +1%, helping Q2 operating cash flow +34%. $WSM $RH $ARHS $XRT
Rahul Sharma @retailguru.bsky.social
Given Sonoma strong run, almost no print would be strong enough but another phenom 'compounding on compounding 'Q by $WSM. Comps on fire at all brands despite tariffs, housing. Lifts sales & margin guide above street despite higher tax drag. Alber just fantastic. $XRT $RH
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Unlike almost any other retailer, clarity of communications a highlight at $WSM. No obfuscation like $WMT, $HD & others about tariff refunds. Performance & outlook reported clearly excluding tariff refunds as the one-off they are. $HD $LOW $TGT $XRT
Rahul Sharma @retailguru.bsky.social
Given Sonoma strong run, almost no print would be strong enough but another phenom 'compounding on compounding 'Q by $WSM. Comps on fire at all brands despite tariffs, housing. Lifts sales & margin guide above street despite higher tax drag. Alber just fantastic. $XRT $RH
0 0 0
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