#Probability is an active hashtag on Bluesky. In the last 30 days, 22 people shared 55 posts with it — around 2 a day. Activity is up 0% versus the previous week, peaking on Jul 13 with 7 posts.

Posts with #Probability

Go4Know

@go4know.com

about 1 year ago

🔥 How Big Is the Casino Edge in Roulette and What Are the Best Playing Strategies? 👉 patreon.com/posts/130607...? #knowledge #curiosity #education #ai #art #aiart #roulette #casino #gambling #probability #strategy #math #betting #risk #odds #fibonacci #martingale #game #games #lasvegas #roulette

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Acid Rain

@bearysweet.bsky.social

7 months ago

Pssst, cat's the ex-croupier at the casino in Feline City. 😽 #cat #probability

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Marshall Abrams

@marshall0i.bsky.social

about 1 year ago

My book Evolution and the Machinery of Chance came out two years ago; I haven't posted a summary here 'til now. It's for philosophers of science and biologists interested in questions about the nature and role of #probability in evolutionary processes, esp. #naturalselection. 🐋🌱 #philsci #evobio 1/9

2 12 65

This Is My Glasgow

@thisismyglasgow.bsky.social

6 months ago

Whenever I see the three doors in a row on W.M. Whyte's 1885 tenements on Queen's Drive in Glasgow, I'm always reminded of the Monty Hall Problem. This problem shows how poor the intuitive human understanding of probabilities actually is. Cont./ #glasgow #probability #montyhallproblem

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Marshall Abrams

@marshall0i.bsky.social

10 months ago

Mathematician Hilda Geiringer was born OTD 9/28/1893. In philosophy of science, best known for translating and adding to her husband Richard von Mises' books on probability and statistics, in biology for seminal work on genetic linkage. www.bbc.com/future/artic... #philsci #evobio #probability #math

www.bbc.com

The woman who reshaped maths

She fled the Nazis, only to face a new challenge: being accepted in academia.

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Raphael Viscarra Rossel

@ravr19.bsky.social

over 1 year ago

Probability, like Schrödinger’s cat, exists in a paradox: it’s real enough to guide our actions, but vanishes under scrutiny. David Spiegelhalter argues it might not exist—but pretending it does keeps uncertainty in check. 🎲 🧪🌏🌱 #Probability #Science #Philosophy www.nature.com/articles/d41...

www.nature.com

Why probability probably doesn’t exist (but it is useful to act like it does)

All of statistics and much of science depends on probability — an astonishing achievement, considering no one’s really sure what it is.

4 10 31

Brian O'Blivion ⚛️ 🖲🐒 🤷🏽

@boblivion.bsky.social

8 months ago

#bskyart #artai #iconoplasm #AIArt #AIArtist #AIArtwork #AIimages #GenArt #DigitalArt #AIArtGallery #AIGeneratedArt #AIArtCommunity #synthart #wavefunction #probability #collapse #surrealism Collection of Collapsing Wavefunctions

3 2 29

Mark Rubin

@markrubin.bsky.social

over 1 year ago

"It does not make sense to think of our judgements as being estimates of ‘true’ probabilities." David Spiegelhalter's excellent introduction to the nuances and intricacies of probability. doi.org/10.1038/d415... #Methodology #Statistics #Probability 🧪

There is a limited range of well-controlled, repeatable situations of such immense complexity that, even if they are essentially deterministic, fit the frequentist paradigm by having a probability distribution with predictable properties in the long run. These include standard randomizing devices, such as roulette wheels, shuffled cards, spun coins, thrown dice and lottery balls, as well as pseudo-random number generators, which rely on non-linear, chaotic algorithms to give numbers that pass tests of randomness. In the natural world, we can throw in the workings of large collections of gas molecules which, even if following Newtonian physics, obey the laws of statistical mechanics; and genetics, in which the huge complexity of chromosomal selection and recombination gives rise to stable rates of inheritance. It might be reasonable in these limited circumstances to assume a pseudo-objective probability — ‘the’ probability, rather than ‘a’ (subjective) probability.

In every other situation in which probabilities are used, however — from broad swathes of science to sports, economics, weather, climate, risk analysis, catastrophe models and so on — it does not make sense to think of our judgements as being estimates of ‘true’ probabilities. These are just situations in which we can attempt to express our personal or collective uncertainty in terms of probabilities, on the basis of our knowledge and judgement.

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Dr. Ganapathi Pulipaka

@gp-pulipaka.bsky.social

2 days ago

0 0 2

Joseph O'Rourke

@josephorourke.bsky.social

11 months ago

What is the probability that 4 points chosen uniformly at random on surface of a sphere form a tetrahedron whose four faces are each acute? Asked on MathOverflow (mathoverflow.net/q/498296…) with evidence that the answer is 1/12. But not yet resolved. #MathSky #Mathematics #Geometry #Probability

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YHenryG 📚 💉 😷

@yhenryg.bsky.social

4 days ago

#climate #climatechange #summer #hot #science #statistics #probability #education it's definitely a change for the worse

Dan🌹🔵🌊🇺🇸 @arepublic86.bsky.social

The next time a climate change denier comes at you with that excuse:

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Bill Vanderburgh

@billvanderburgh.bsky.social

over 1 year ago

Looking for a gift for the philosophy lover in your life? www.amazon.com/David-Hume-M... #philsky #philsci #philosophy #miracles #philosophyofreligion #probability #evidence

www.amazon.com

David Hume on Miracles, Evidence, and Probability

David Hume on Miracles, Evidence, and Probability [Vanderburgh, William L.] on Amazon.com. *FREE* shipping on qualifying offers. David Hume on Miracles, Evidence, and Probability

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