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New Zealanders Warned to Prepare for Unprecedented El Niño Impact
The article discusses the ongoing effects of a historically strong El Niño weather pattern in New Zealand, which is expected to intensify and peak around November or December. Earth Sciences New Zealand (ESNZ) principal scientist Chris Brandolino warns that the phenomenon will lead to prolonged dryness, particularly for the North Island, with below-normal rainfall anticipated through October. Conversely, the western and lower South Island may experience wetter-than-usual conditions. Dry windy periods increase wildfire risks, especially in areas like the eastern South Island where foehn effects could create unusually warm temperatures. Farmers and residents relying on tank water are urged to prepare for extended dry spells by planning for water shortages and reducing fire hazards. The article also notes that this El Niño is projected to surpass previous records, with central Pacific Ocean temperatures expected to rise by +4.1°C by December 2026. While New Zealand may not face extreme European heatwaves, the country will experience heightened temperature variability and prolonged dryness, emphasizing the need for proactive preparation across water-dependent sectors.