Top recent posts by Economists and Policy Experts on Bluesky

Causal inference is my passion.

The Supreme Court showed up today, and the power of the President has limits. That is huge, regardless of what the tariff rate is tomorrow.

ah, I almost forgot how bad it is to work on an entire article only to have Donald Trump completely change the tariff rates just as I finish

here's your hearty laugh of the day, courtesy of Oren Cass' take on the SCOTUS tariff decision

shocking nobody, the new tariffs Trump is putting on to replace the ones struck down by SCOTUS this morning also exempt data center computers

NEW from me: Yesterday’s Supreme Court ruling was the largest pushback on Trump’s trade war Even though Trump imposed a new 10% tariff, it resulted in a 3% reduction in overall tariff rates, a large restriction in his tariff powers, and possibly >$150B in refunds🧵 www.apricitas.io/p/the-suprem...

People: Your machines are bad for the environment Sam Altman, his left eye slightly twitching, a small twinge brings his lips into the faintest of smiles: so is your very life

Trump wants to ⬆️ the military budget $500 billion PER YEAR, close to a 50% ⬆️ It’s such a large ⬆️, they have no idea how to even use that much money. Over the decade, it’d cost $5.6 trillion Keep in mind they just took health care & food from people in the largest cuts to Medicaid & SNAP in history

Getting ready to vote in my local primary and there’s a county commission candidate that described herself as a “race traitor” in her candidate questionnaire from @charlotteobserver.com I’m in awe.

I never bothered to learn whatever was going on with Clavicular because I’m a man over 40. The kids can have that kind of culture without me.

They want such a huge increase in defense spending that they literally can’t figure out how to use it But they felt spending was such a “big problem” that they illegally impounded lifesaving foreign aid, killing hundreds of thousands, and they ripped food and health care away from millions in OBBBA

SCOTUS stands up against POTUS on issues where capital opposes POTUS (Fed independence, arbitrary tariffs...). Anywhere else?

*TRUMP SAYS HE WILL INCREASE GLOBAL TARIFFS TO 15% FROM 10%

Speaker Johnson does Black History Month

Federal Judge Joseph Goodwin (West Virginia), on the reign of terror by “agents of the federal government—masked, anonymous, armed with military weapons … It is an assault on the constitutional order. It is what the Fourth Amendment was written to prevent.” storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us...

The president is famously scrupulous about paying his debts fully and promptly.

LOTR Adaptation: in sadness, we have dropped the Tom Bombadil scene in order to keep the movie under 4 hours. Wuthering Heights adaptation: Whoops! We forgot the last half of the book!

In this talk Jocelyn Bell says the reason she discovered pulsars is that anything she doesn't understand sticks in her head and annoys her forever; the mystery signal was present only 10 times per million readings but she still cared about it: "That's how sick I was." lmao youtu.be/ot1Ggv6YZyQ

Good night folks, enjoy a deeply underrated music video this evening. (I truly hate YouTube thumbnails)

The savings rate is very low. But it's usually an under-estimate, and ~never a structural over-estimate. It's easier to count spending than income. [This post brought to you by Claude Code, the fine folks at FRED, and Chart Builder/charts.py!]

Popularism seems to be oddly focused on how woke people annoy him. Hmm.

This is the best illustration of why the economic effects of Trump will be felt not in a single moment of collapse, but in permanently lower prosperity. Outside AI euphoria, people will think ten times before committing to any large investment. www.nytimes.com/2026/02/21/b...

Just back from Rio, Brasília & Salvador launching @iipp-ucl.bsky.social Carnival Economics project w Brazil's Ministry of Culture. Carnival isn’t a one-off event—it’s a year-round production economy. A case study on how culture, identity & joy sit at the centre of what a creative economy should be.

Oh ok we are getting 18 inches of snow tomorrow/first NYC blizzard since 2017? Groundhog still had some juice.

I don't go here but Andor people your guy is on point.

Residential fixed investment as a % of GDP is at Q1 2008 or Q2 2016 levels. Its cycle will come, just not yet:

Ripping off Trump’s name and face from all these buildings will be a necessary cathartic moment to start off the slow process of rebuilding US institutions.

No bad deed goes unrewarded www.axios.com/2026/02/20/n...

Counterpoint: no, it won’t.

RIP to a true legend. After Fred Wesley he’s maybe my GOAT bone player Look at those album covers—South Bronx Boricua gangsta shit that Fat Joe and Big Pun drew from Here’s a sad one, one of my all time favs. Qué lío indeed m.youtube.com/watch?v=YtCQ...

Texatarians - only eat food from Texas.

So we're just raising tariffs on vibes now, cool, cool cool cool

If it's what you say, I love it. Especially before midterms.

I saw this picture and wondered if there was a cat in there.

This is super cool, what a great idea.

Rep. Omar was the correct choice.

My Twitter/X account was hacked. Like an idiot, I fell for a phishing scam. Until further notice, anything from that account is not from me.

No athlete makes me feel as old as this guy. I loved watching his dad’s sick crossovers — still have the Hardaway #10 Warriors jersey my brother got me when he visited a friend in Florida back in the early 90s…

Dog I can’t believe they’re starting Abada 😭😭😭 #ForTheCrown

if you are still on Twitter/X and get any suscpicious DMs from the person who hacked me, can you let me know?