Recent posts by Economists and Policy Experts on Bluesky

This is where open and decentralized protocols will play a key role They’re not a silver bullet, but they help build the kind of resilience that the current system completely lacks

turning and turning? in this economy?

I just searched “Slack” on Xitter, as the chat app It took somewhere between five to ten posts for the search results to show me a far right post threatening to kill muslim people 1. What the fuck? 2. Why are people still using this landfill, especially academics, politicians, and journalists?

I'm reading a lot about the Reformation (for the novel) and i'm sort of surprised I never heard of St Anne, Jesus's grandmother, before now. despite being raised catholic .... or perhaps it's BECAUSE i was raised catholic ....

Today is a great day to read about the Levering Act en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Leverin...

Forget The New York Times or The Washington Post Subscribe to The Verge instead Their coverage of the Trump administration has been stellar

Truly hate to see this all happen to my country. I don’t have the words to say anything someone else hasn’t already said, so I’ll just say I’m legitimately sad.

I think a lot about Saruman lately. He claims to join Sauron becuase it’s impossible to resist the might of Mordor, he’s simply powerless against him etc, but then it’s Saruman, not Sauron, who causes almost all the problems for the fellowship in the first two books.

Spring sky in Australia

Idea: massive anti-trust initiative. Just all out, making Brandeis blush, anti-trust.

I actually think there’s a chance we can pull Tucker. This is not the first wobble we’ve seen from him. Not sure we should try to court Karl Rove however, an orders of magnitude worse person

My longstanding refusal to give The Mouse any of my money is looking pretty good today

He suggests boycotting among other things.

October 18th is too far away.

Do you promise? Do you promise to make them regret this?

Just just did this. The kids will miss Bluey but it had to be done.

Klein sad defense of his piece happening on the same day Trump run a comedian off the air with threats against his employer. ::chef's kiss::

When I worked at Senate Budget, every single year, I would go through the copious errors in Rand Paul's budget. Tyler was my replacement when I left (follow him). What's so amazing about the Paul budget is both that he has some of the same errors each year & that there are new ones every year too.

It's really unfortunate how the high school history treatment of the Great Depression gives people very bad intuitions about how the business cycle works.

The bicameral Democratic alternative CR has a lot of really outstanding language that both goes after impoundments & partisan rescissions packages. Great stuff here from @delauro.house.gov and @murray.senate.gov, showing a caucus that is actually serious about confronting Trump budget lawlessness.

DRAFT: A Small, Intensive, Data-Sciencey Seminar in Long-Run Economic History I have decided on my teaching next semester: two things that are half-courses (half of grad student intro to economic history, and the economic-history outside-speakers seminar)… braddelong.substack.com/p/draft-a-sm...

American elites are deeply corrupt scum. Dimon fluffing the GOP Senate caucus today was a perfect example of it.

The federal government is dictating what speech is permitted. *DISNEY SAYS 'JIMMY KIMMEL LIVE' TO BE PREEMPTED INDEFINITELY

What a bleak time this is.

More seriously it is really bad and it is not getting the coverage it should. I know it's hard to focus on long term damage when there is so much immediate damage but we are going to be paying for this for a long time.

I can't tell how many people think this is a real thing versus a funny joke.

Few events have a chokehold on society like Fed Day, but the final episode of “The Summer I Turned Pretty” gives the central bank a run for its money. Read @jesskarl.bsky.social on why the overlap between the FOMC and TSITP cannot be overstated:

My father-in-law is an evaluator. It is difficult to get his attention in an analysis because he is lost in wonder. We were in 20 year TAA evaluation together years ago and I asked him what it would cost to build it today. I will never forget his answer… 'We can’t, we don’t know how to do it.

You can sign up to spend the Disability Squeeze Research Symposium below. It takes place on Sept. 26, 2025 at New York Law School. Learn about the high costs of living with a disability.

Behold the first past the post single member district system in all its glory.

Republicans literally took food away from poor children in the same bill that allowed this by supercharging funding for hiring and retaining ICE agents

Don't tell @cameron.pfiffer.org but I might show early signs of a @julialang.org addiction

Being locked out of my uni account, seemingly for no reasons, 30 minutes before teaching a class wasn't the best experience to be honest

Conservative and Liberal Americans demand a health policy driven by science, not loyalty to a cabal, because our lives depend on it.

I am also in that stage of my life as anyone who has worked with me can confirm.

I think we can get some money for this.

CBRL clearly not hurt too bad by the controversy... *CRACKER BARREL 4Q REV. $868.0M, EST. $854.7M ...but omg that's not good *CRACKER BARREL SEES 2026 REV. $3.35B TO $3.45B, EST. $3.52B

Worst D&D cosplayers I have ever seen.

Don't need a tank to think when you have a thinking Tankus

Status: sitting in car 6, seat 7 on the train and texting my tween daughter "6 7!" to annoy her.

Trump's numbers on inflation continue to plunge, which is hard to do:

We will miss Powell when he’s done as Chair.

Honestly, this is pretty strong. What's striking about it, to me, is that he specifically describes what Kirk's ideas were. That may be a low bar, but an awful lot of people have failed to clear it.

Hah hah fuck poor people just trying to survive, an I right?

Here's that Gallup poll btw. news.gallup.com/poll/659534/...

Reasons markets might not like the “risk management cut” language: -Suggests a floor of 3% Fed Funds rather than a base case of 3% -If you’re worried about the labor market/recession, the Fed doesn’t share your concern yet

The Federation absolutely provides guns to civilizations that are being occupied by FTL capable civilizations. See "A Private Little War".

“A *clearly* restrictive level” -Powell

Influence it the bad direction.

Life is expensive—but for women of color, it’s even more so. In her new book 'The Double Tax', Roosevelt Graduate Fellow @itsafronomics.bsky.social shows how racism + sexism compound everyday costs, from wages to hair care. Read our interview with Anna ⬇️ rooseveltinstitute.org/blog/intervi...

They’re basically running back the 2024 cuts even though the setup is different.

A corollary of this is that you should judge policies based on whether they are likely to make people’s lives noticeably better when adopted, as opposed to how they sound to focus groups in the abstract.

The 2026 SEP/dots are a mess, throw those into the trash.

New FOMC projections: Higher GDP Growth Lower Unemployment Higher Inflation Lower Interest Rates

Just saw Miran’s clown 2025 dot.

🚨FED CUTS INTEREST RATES 0.25% MIRAN DISSENTS FOR 0.5% CUT

LIVE NOW: It’s Fed Day, and a rate cut is expected! But where does the central bank go from here? 🎥 Tune in for analysis with @jonathanjlevin.bsky.social, Allison Schrager and @kedseconomist.com:

Fed decision for September in 10 minutes. Policy statement and projections will post at 2:00p ET (not before, don't bother clicking yet). Statement: www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/p... Projections: www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypoli...

My goal in life is to get the word "shkrelling" into circulation. It means talking about something in a way that is ostensibly about how evil and terrible it is, but is really marketing for it.

This is a really insightful piece from several months ago that you should read if you missed it at the time.

This Money Stuff newsletter is one of the sharpest, bare-knuckled newsletters I’ve seen. www.bloomberg.com/opinion/news...

Guy has absolutely lost a step. *DIMON: TRUMP SAYS FED SHOULD BE INDEPENDENT, I'M NOT CONCERNED

Check out our @voxeu.org piece on our new research on AI and trust in media. cepr.org/voxeu/column...

Trump-aligned billionaires owning all the social media platforms is a really big deal

We’re launching a new blog series on how countries + industries are navigating the clean energy transition. First up, @shangwei-liu.bsky.social digs into why nuclear costs keep rising in the US but falling in China—and what this means for industrial policy. rooseveltinstitute.org/blog/can-chi...

My wife and I met the old-fashioned way - as activists in our respective graduate employee unions.

Proposes new federal funding to allow states to expand access to childcare vouchers to working parents with higher incomes & to facilitate payments to childcare staff. www.nbcnews.com/politics/con...

"Monetary policy is not on a preset course. FOMC members will make these decisions, based solely on their assessment of the data and its implications for the economic outlook and the balance of risks. We will never deviate from that approach." Powell last month in Jackson Hole speech. Ages ago.

US hiring rates remain stuck at 3.3%—hovering near their lowest readings since the start of the COVID—but vary dramatically from state to state DOGE-hit DC has the lowest hiring rate at 1.7%, while Wyoming, Montana, & Idaho have some of the highest hiring rates at 4.5% and above

Big news for the Leo/PTA hive:

Get Skocpilled. Can't emphasize enough how much of our present dysfunction derives from the shifts she documents.

"we estimate a cross-sectional elasticity of reservation wages with respect to weekly UI benefits of 0.014... we find that expanded benefits during COVID-19 increased reservation wages by 8–12 percent."

Americans' access to life-saving pharmaceuticals must be governed by the best, widely accepted scientific research. Our lives are not a plaything for disinformation-soaked ideologues and their cronies.

Everyone has their explanation for the last US election result. Whatever yours is, confront it with this —>

The gap between productivity and pay has increased dramatically since 1979. What happened? Intentional policy decisions to undercut workers, like deregulation, deunionization, and tax cuts for the rich. Learn more: www.epi.org/blog/the-wid...

A fun thing about being in a very particular demographic is you know your audience:

Universal free child care in NM proves what’s possible when gov't invests in people. As @lbilik.bsky.social says in a new @usatoday.com piece, “child care is a cost of living issue.” Families everywhere deserve child care as a public good. #GoodLife www.usatoday.com/story/money/...

👀 The Fed faces one of its toughest balancing acts in years. Inflation, labor, AI, and tariffs are pulling policy in different directions. Check out @mikemadowitz.bsky.social's sharp thread breaking down today’s meeting ⤵️

*CRUDE OIL INVENTORIES FELL 9.29 MLN BARRELS, EIA SAYS Analysts were looking for a build of a bit over 1mm, this is the biggest draw ever for this week of the year.

Incidentally, I noticed this while updating an assignment that asks students to estimate how much China's currency would have to appreciate to achieve bilateral trade balance with the United States. The answer used to look a lot crazier than it does now.

A startup might bring the dodo bird back, in case you were dooming about a lack of dodo birds in the world: www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

There is a new one of these every year. Understand that there are hundreds of rich boomers left, right and center and folks regularly pitch new institutes to them to relieve them of their money.

GDP/capita makes it clear how much of the EU's growth is now concentrated in the East Excluding Ireland's pharma-tax-shifting, all the fastest-growing countries (Bulgaria, Poland, Croatia, Lithuania, & Latvia) are in the East. Spain is the only Western country growing above 1%

Canada cuts 25 bps as expected, but removes forward guidance on cuts from the policy statement.

I hadn't quite realized how much China's exports to the US have fallen recently. Prior to the pandemic, the US deficit with China was on the order of 2 percent of GDP. Now it's down to half a percent.

Here is a simple—but profound—and positive vision for the role of policy analysts at this historical moment. In short, time to get creative. Thank you for this thread @aaronsojourner.org —>

Here is a simple—but profound—and positive vision for the role of policy analysts at this historical moment. In short, time to get creative. Thank you for this thread @aaronsojourner.org —>

I'd like to see an argument as to why this is a bad focus. "Stop health care prices from going up" does not seem obviously the wrong play to me?

What can policy-oriented social scientists do in this moment? POTUS has remade the GOP coalition anew in his image. Lines of conflict & opposition coalitions are scrambled. He's taking apart long-standing institutions & conventions, making the future is more fluid than ever in my lifetime....

Fed Day is not the same without our playlist 🎶 Here’s what to listen to before today’s expected rate cut: open.spotify.com/playlist/2Iw...

Me, reading the year of birth of my students

I am available to give a talk on the underappreciated virtues of D&D 4th edition. I will not be silenced!

Need someone to study this.

Do other folks have a lanyard grave yard or, I guess shrine, where they keep the dozens they acquired from years of conferences and events?

Trump’s New York Times lawsuit would be a joke if its ultimate goal wasn't so serious, says @timobrien.bsky.social

Huh, Lyft/Waymo partnership in Nashville (Waymo will still be hailed via its native app). www.businesswire.com/news/home/20...

Residential construction for August was not good, not good at all. Single family and multifamily both broadly declining while the South saw a HUGE flush lower for permits that looks unsustainable. Still this is the key source of new US supply and it's very weak.

Building permits in the South:

Stephen A. Smith now makes $40 million/year and is focused on moving into politics: www.nytimes.com/athletic/663...