Recent posts by UK Constitutional Lawyers community members. Updated hourly.
Fear that a faction-ridden regime with unclear succession options after Khamenei's death, angry populations and restive minorities in key regions might enter into dangerous instability has been a matter of discussion for years. I'm old enough to remember people claiming Baathist Syria wouldn't fall
Don't miss this wonderful episode of @EmpirePodUK- Really one of our very best Murder in the Congo, The Cuban Missile Crisis, & India in the UN How did the first Asian UN Secretary General prevent multiple Armeggedons in the 1960s? podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/m...
Even if the state doesn't collapse, an Israeli operation that kills off the top 2 or 3 tiers of Iran's military-industrial leadership would lead to rapid rise of obscure colonels and majors whose strategic outlook would be unknown to most outsiders in ways that make the regime less predictable
A lot of analysis around Iran's options is reminiscent of speculation in 2024 about supposed asymmetric retaliation Hezbollah was going to inflict through attacks in Europe and the Gulf only for structural pressures to paralyse it in the face of an Israeli onslaught that ignored old unwritten rules
âOne Israeli official estimated that in the first 12 hours of air strikes Israel had âbarely destroyed 20% of the nuclear programmeâ. But Mr Netanyahu is planning at least two solid weeks of strikes, targeting many types of Iranian military assetsâ www.economist.com/middle-east-...
The siren sounds when watching the news are definitely triggering for me. They transport my feelings to what I felt as a kid terrified of an imminent bomb falling on us. I wish I can recall the good momentsâ feelings as intensely as this. War is forever so real to me. Itâs the worst of humanity.
Really interesting to hear @lizzicollinge.bsky.social speaking about humanism in British politics and parliament â thinking through what an APPG on humanism can actually achieve, what it might add to the political conversation and how it enriches parliamentary and political dialogues.
A problem with geopolitical analysis produced in the US is it often assumes other states will succumb to similar structural constraints on political will and doctrine that affect America's way of war. That goes as much for analysis of Ukraine and Israel as Iran or Russia
The extent to which the concept of ânationâ dominates our thinking is astonishing. Just to point out that it is very possible to be pro-Hungary and anti-Orban, anti-Putin but pro-Russian (in fact you can believe Russians are better off if Russia loses the war), pro-Israel but any-Netanyahu.
A reminder that not only are most migrants on settlement routes subjected to what is known as "no recourse to public funds", meaning no state support, the majority actually pay more into state finances than take out, on top of tens of thousands in visa costs, and the immigration health surcharge. 1/
The last couple of days of #CrossBorderRail have been a bit of a struggle - I ate the wrong thing somewhere... Anyway I am back and fit and today is Day 7 - RzeszĂłw - Berlin - KĂśln - Bruxelles Map: umap.openstreetmap.fr/en/map/cross... Live blog: crossborderrail.trainsforeurope.eu/live-blog-14...
I'm not a fan of the yah-boo British parliamentary culture at all, but I do feel that when someone lands an absolute zinger of a question like this and literally brings receipts, there should at least be a chant of "NICE ONE MAGGIE" from the public gallery or an airhorn or something.
This is everywhere. Every academic institution I know is held together by some exhausted woman in her early 40's who waits until the old white male professors have finished their vague rants and says, "alright, so concretely can I propose the following next steps..." She makes half their salary.
When even Joe Rogan thinks you have gone too far.... I think Joe Rogan is an opportunist douchebag but kudos to the guy for actually taking a stand that matters, even though he knows this may well 'alienate his base'. When Joe thinks Trump's AmeriKKKa is too cruel, perhaps there is hope.
War & conflict are connected to health. Racism, sexism & fascism are connected to health. Climate change is connected to health. And of course poverty is connected to health. If your lane is improving population health, these things are your lane too. Yes theyâre thorny but your lane nevertheless.
I haven't been so appalled by content on Bluesky as I was last night. Dozens of replies explicitly celebrating attacks on civilians in Tel Aviv. If you've convinced yourself that attacking Israeli civilians is a good thing - you're no better than Netanyahu, and you are yourself a genocidal maniac.
Childhood immunisations are one of the most powerful and effective public health interventions of all time. We used to take them from granted but not anymore. Conspiracy theory, wars, poverty and systems collapse put them at risk. We must keep shouting about their importance.
This is what happens when you're Jewish and post about Israel. Even if the post is overwhelmingly critical of Israel, as mine was, and even if you often denounce Israel's abominable actions, as I do. "The rest of the world is absolutely appalled by you" I'm not in the Israeli govt or even Israeli.
This is what happens when you're Jewish and post about Israel. Even if the post is overwhelmingly critical of Israel, as mine was, and even if you often denounce Israel's abominable actions, as I do. "The rest of the world is absolutely appalled by you" I'm not in the Israeli govt or even Israeli.
đ§: News outlets should be wary of making deals with âa company or industry that fundamentally doesn't want you to existâ, says @karenhao.bsky.socialâŹ, author of âEmpire of AIâ, on Media Confidential with @arusbridger.bsky.social and âŞ@lionelbarber.bsky.socialâŹ. www.prospectmagazine...
My shows at the @edfringe.bsky.social , 2-5 Aug with Rachel Reeves, Jess Phillips, Jacqui Smith, Tessa Dunlop, Joanna Cherry KC, Sir Jeremy Hunt, Michael Crick, Brian Taylor, Michael Heseltine, Sir John Curtice, Lord Dannatt & Lord Darroch. Buy tickets www.pleasance.co.uk/search?query...
re-reading the Mishra-Ferguson fight, and surrounding media coverage for a thing, and now want to set the Times' commentary on the whole thing ('historians hate forever, and never forget') as a 'Discuss' essay question the next time I teach historiography theory